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(The case of one-dimensional predictand)"G )F &/Locations of simulated data and psevo-proxies.00"2!    'PNH annual near-surface temperature. Reconstruction from using different methods.QQP )TNH annual near-surface temperature. Coefficient of efficiency for different methods.UUT ,"RNH annual near-surface temperature. Correlation coefficient for different methods.SSR * PNH annual near-surface temperature. Reconstruction from using different methods.QQP +!#Summary    0` 33` Sf3f` 33g` f` www3PP` ZXdbmo` \ғ3y`Ӣ` 3f3ff` 3f3FKf` hk]wwwfܹ` ff>>\`Y{ff` R>&- {p_/̴>?" dd@,|?" dd@   " @ ` n?" dd@   @@``PR    @ ` ` p>> :2(    6H  `}  ^*Titelmasterformat durch Klicken bearbeiten+ +"  0a  `  ^Textmasterformate durch Klicken bearbeiten Zweite Ebene Dritte Ebene Vierte Ebene Fnfte Ebene+     _  0< ^ `  X*  0 ^   Z*  0  ^ `  Z*H  0޽h ? 3380___PPT10.}`be Standarddesign   0   ,(  x  c $䚦@ `    H  0޽h ? 33___PPT10i.}`be+D=' y= @B +  0 Pl(    B  `}     BC P ``  H  0޽h ? 33___PPT10i.}Ade+D=' y= @B +#  0 :2@(  r  S Z0 `     `AMann method P p  s HA mann_treeringPH  0޽h ? 33___PPT10i.av+D=' y= @B +  0  T(  r  S .0 `  .   bA some methodsp ` .H  0޽h ? 33___PPT10i.nj +D=' y= @B +  0 0\(  r  S F `}      j d1$A ris1   H  0޽h ? 33___PPT10i.[k/+D=' y= @B +  0 P\(  r  S   `}      jT KA ris4M H  0޽h ? 33___PPT10i.]kN+D=' y= @B +  0 p \(  r  S 0 `}      j T A ris8I H  0޽h ? 33___PPT10i.]kЎ+D=' y= @B +  0 \(  r  S  `}      j T A ris99 H  0޽h ? 33___PPT10i.`k0#+D=' y= @B +  0  `(  r  S 08 `}  8    n T KAMann50` 8H  0޽h ? 33___PPT10i.]k]+D=' y= @B +@  0 ??RT\?(  = `  # #"6* P======== ` X  <D18?  a-   @`  <Ю8?l  a-   @`  <dY8? l a-   @`  <|R8?  d0.06   @`   <̊8?  d0.42   @`   <ԓ8?   d0.76   @`   <ܜ8 ?"`  dDirect   @`   <,8 ?"`~   h Grid-point     @`   <88?~   a-   @`  <8?l~   a-   @`  <$#8?~ l  a-   @`  <=8? ~   d0.33   @`  <^8? ~  d0.60   @`  <8g8?~   d0.78   @`  B@p8 ?"``~  `RR   @`  <E8?A ~  i-  @`  <D46?lA ~  i-  @`  <>6?A l~  i-  @`  <`76? A ~  l0.30  @`  <S6? A ~  l0.55  @`  <d\6?A  ~  l0.64  @`  <e6 ?"``A ~  iANN  @`  <4o6? A  l0.28  @`  <x6?l A  l0.53  @`  <܁6? lA  l0.75  @`  <06?  A  l0.24  @`  <6?  A  l0.49  @`   <؝6?  A  l0.70  @` ! <,6 ?"`` A  iPLS  @` " <6?   l0.02  @` # <6?l  l0.56  @` $ <6?l  l0.76  @` % < 6?   m-0.12  @` & <6?    l0.52  @` ' <X6?   l0.76  @` ( <'6 ?"``  iMBH  @` ) <)?  i-  @` * <,)?l i-  @` + <D)?l i-  @` , <M)?  d0.15   @` - <V)?   d0.38   @` . <_)?  d0.54   @` / <i) ?"`` p SLR(2band)     @` 0 </)?M  i-  @` 1 <)?lM i-  @` 2 <ԙ)?Ml i-  @` 3 <,)? M d0.14   @` 4 <)? M  d0.38   @` 5 <)?M  d0.53   @` 6 <H) ?"``M iSLR  @` 7 <)? M jRE  @` 8 <)?lM xr(ver)  @` 9 <)?lM nr(cal)  @` : <8%)? M jRE  @` ; <r)?  M xr(ver)  @` < <4|)? M nr(cal)  @` = <)?  nMasked  @` > <)?  t Verification     @` ? <8)?  s Calibration     @` @ <)?`M X  @`ZB A s *1 ?` ZB B s *1 ?` ZB C s *1 ?``ZB D s *1 ?  ZB E s *1 ?`M MZB F s *1 ?ZB G s *1 ?  ZB H s *1 ?ZB I s *1 ? ZB J s *1 ?  ZB K s *1 ?llZB L s *1 ?ZB M s *1 ?` ZB N s *1 ?` ZB O s *1 ?`  ZB P s *1 ?`A A ZB Q s *1 ?`~ ~ ZB R s *1 ?~ ZB S s *1 ?  5 T 6)  Southern European mean temperature. Comparison with predictand observations. Calibration period = 1897-1976. Verification period = 1851-1896&%iH  0޽h ? 33___PPT10i.`k{9J+D=' y= @B +e  0 |t (  r  S  `S  e B  3 16  B  3 16    0 fThe Mann method comes from idea of the unbiased regression and thus seems to be acceptable for reconstruction of the low-frequency variability. In the one-dimensional case it makes right inflation of the regression with SVD decomposition and coincides with the inflated regression. It is also cheap from the computation point of view and seems to be robust to the increasing level of the white noise in proxy data. Probably the Mann method can lead to the big errors in the case when we have strong spatial correlations in the noise. 2   H  0޽h ? 33___PPT10i.ZhLh+D=' y= @B +rL0#4 ##Sw%0,&(+)@[.361|,1Oh+'0 `h , L X dpx|The mean European temperature reconstruction from density of tree-rings with the use of the Recusive Reduction Method.Coastal Research . .45Microsoft PowerPoint@@E@c}@EGHg  9  y--$xx--'@Bookman Old Style-. +2 /Comparative analysis of ."System7-@Bookman Old Style-. 62 9 the Mann reconstruction method .-@Bookman Old Style-. $2 C*for the problem of s.-@Bookman Old Style-. 92 N !the interpretation of proxy data..-՜.+,0    GKSS5S  ArialBookman Old StyleSymbolTahomaStandarddesignoComparative analysis of the Mann reconstruction method for the problem of the interpretation of proxy data. -The mathematical formulation of the problemThe Mann reconstruction methodGSome frequently-used methods. (The case of one-dimensional predictand)0Locations of simulated data and psevo-proxies.QNH annual near-surface temperature. Reconstruction from using different methods.UNH annual near-surface temperature. Coefficient of efficiency for different methods.SNH annual near-surface temperature. Correlation coefficient for different methods.QNH annual near-surface temperature. Reconstruction from using different methods. 10Summary     &_}0 . .E;QAB8= . ..  !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~      !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~Root EntrydO)PicturesNCurrent UserSummaryInformation(PowerPoint Document(]8}DocumentSummaryInformation8